Romania Liga 2 Predictions
Probabilities for Liga 2 (Romania) matches, computed by a Poisson + Dixon-Coles model and calibrated on real results — published and frozen before kick-off, verifiable after.
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The model has analysed 11 matches from Romania Liga 2 in the next 7 days, the first on 20 October 2026.
Upcoming Romania Liga 2 fixtures
| When | Match | 1 · X · 2 | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Most likely market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10 17:30 | ASA Targu Mures – Chindia Targoviste ⚠️ uncalibrated | 🔒 this match's probabilities are for members | membership | |||
| 22.10 16:00 | Bihor Oradea – CSM Reşiţa ⚠️ uncalibrated | 🔒 this match's probabilities are for members | membership | |||
| 24.10 11:00 | Cetatea Suceava – Slatina ⚠️ uncalibrated | 🔒 this match's probabilities are for members | membership | |||
| 24.10 11:00 | CS Dinamo București – Popești-Leordeni ⚠️ uncalibrated | 🔒 this match's probabilities are for members | membership | |||
| 24.10 11:00 | Gloria Bistriţa – Dumbrăviţa ⚠️ uncalibrated | 🔒 this match's probabilities are for members | membership | |||
| 24.10 11:00 | Metalul Buzău – Ştefăneşti ⚠️ uncalibrated | 🔒 this match's probabilities are for members | membership | |||
| 24.10 11:00 | Unirea Slobozia – Concordia ⚠️ uncalibrated | 🔒 this match's probabilities are for members | membership | |||
| 24.10 13:00 | FC Politehnica Timisoara – FC Bacau ⚠️ uncalibrated | 🔒 this match's probabilities are for members | membership | |||
| 25.10 11:00 | CS Afumati – CSA Steaua Bucureşti ⚠️ uncalibrated | 🔒 this match's probabilities are for members | membership | |||
| 25.10 11:00 | Viitorul Şelimbăr – ASA Targu Mures ⚠️ uncalibrated | 🔒 this match's probabilities are for members | membership | |||
| 25.10 11:00 | Chindia Targoviste – CSM Satu Mare ⚠️ uncalibrated | 🔒 this match's probabilities are for members | membership | |||
Times are Romania time (CET+1). Probabilities are the empirically calibrated ones, not the raw model output. The last column only says which of the tracked markets has the highest calibrated probability — a description of the model's output, not a recommendation; a high percentage is still a probability, not a certainty. The model computes every match in the list; 5 a day are published free, the rest are for members.
How well the model knows this league
On the calibration backtest (January–May 2026, ratings frozen on 31 December 2025) the model saw 132 matches from Romania Liga 2. It expected 3.6% fewer goals than were actually scored — exactly the deviation the per-league calibration corrects. ✓ calibrated
That deviation is within the ±10% we require to call the league's goal profile separately validated, not just covered by the global calibration.
The full method, with what we correct and what we don't, is on the methodology page.
What came true so far in Romania Liga 2
29 resolved predictions so far (20 hit, 9 missed). Too few for a verdict: under 30 results the percentage is noise, not performance, so we do not present it as such. The number that matters now is the global one on the track record.
| Market | N | WIN | LOSS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 16 | 11 | 5 |
| Under 3.5 | 9 | 7 | 2 |
| Over 2.5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 1 (Home) | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Empirically calibrated probabilities · informational · not betting advice · 18+